FHA claims raising down payments to 5% could cause “double dip” price decline!
The Federal Housing Authority, which insures the vast majority of mortgages being made today, is set to claim in testimony to Congress today that raising the required down payment for 3.5% to 5% could cause a double dip price decline. The FHA has seen mounting losses in defaults on mortgages that the agency insures. It is under pressure to change its underwriting standards to increase down payments as a way to protect taxpayers which guaranty the funding of the FHA.
However, it claims that increasing the down payment amount will drastically reduce its loan volume.
Responding to critics, officials of the Federal Housing Administration are set to warn in Congressional testimony Thursday that a double-dip decline in housing prices may result from even a slight increase in minimum down payments on FHA-backed loans.
An increase in down payments to 5%, from the current minimum 3.5%, would limit new FHA-backed loans by 40%, equivalent to 300,000 fewer home sales, according to testimony that FHA Commissioner David Stevens is set to deliver on Thursday.
“We share the goal of increasing equity in home purchase transactions, but determined after extensive evaluation that such a proposal would adversely impact the housing market recovery,” Mr. Stevens says in his testimony. – WSJ
If I understand that correctly, that means that at least 40% of the loans that the FHA is insuring have only 3.5% down and the buyers could not purchase if they had to come up with 5% down. Wow, with price declines in some markets near 40% and most markets seeing 20% price declines, I would think 5% down would be a no-brainer.
I am a bit surprised to learn that would mean 300,000 fewer home sales and the dreaded double dip decline. Please comment on whether that sounds right to you or not.





















