Home Sales are up, and Pricing is Stabilizing, What could go Wrong?
April 10, 2012 in Finance & Mortgage, Lake Chelan Real Estate, Lake Chelan Real Estate Market, The Real Estate Market
Home sales are picking up. Prices are stabilizing and even rising in some cases. The housing recovery is here? There are some who are sounding an alarm. They claim that the $26 billion dollar settlement with 5 major banks and 49 states attorney generals just popped the cork that is going to let the foreclosure genie back out to wreak havoc on the housing market.
If you consider the alarms being called at places like Reuters and ZeroHedge.com, there is a certain logic to their concerns. Stan Humprhies, the chief economist at Zillow expects a resurgence in foreclosures this year, along with the current inventory of unsold, bank-owned homes to contribute to a 3.7 percent national decline in home prices before the market hits bottom in 2013. He then expects the market to stay at the bottom until 2016.
We are well past the issues with the sub-prime market. The current issues with mortgages are from people who have lost jobs or income in the economic downturn and can’t catch up with their house payments. According to Amherst Securities, there are about 9.5 million homes at risk of default. In February Amherst said it expected to see the uptick in foreclosures start to hit in March and April.
What really happens could depend on what the government does. To many, the increased intensity in calls for the Federal Housing Finance Agency to allow write downs, or principal reductions on mortgages seems out of place with the market improving. However, non-profits and the Housing and Urban Development (HUD) supported housing relief industry, are clamoring for an even further socialistic solution that would put the burden on taxpayers for the ultimate solution.
While options like short-sales have somewhat reduced the percentage of homes that go to foreclosure, the market discounts for those solutions still drive down home prices. The current optimism is the housing market may be a seller’s best option to get their home sold for the next few years if the market nay sayers are correct.
Stay tuned, the end of the housing crisis is far from sure.






